时间：2017-07-25 17:31:52 Source: Economic Reference Times : 2017-07-25 17:31:52
Data Map: Property consultants recommend commercial apartment units to the public. Photo by China News Agency reporter Liang Liang
E-House Real Estate Research Institute recently released a report showing that in the first half of July, the transaction area of newly built commercial residential buildings in 50 typical cities monitored by E-House was 11.36 million square meters, a decrease of 2% from the first half of June and a decrease of 20% year-on-year.
On a month-on-month basis, 30 of the 50 cities experienced a month-on-month decline. The three cities with the largest declines were Anqing, Langfang, and Huizhou. Compared with the first half of June, the market turnover decreased by 41%, 37%, and 37%. On a year-on-year basis, 33 of the 50 cities experienced year-on-year declines. The three cities with the largest declines were Beijing, Fuzhou and Langfang, with year-on-year decreases of 74%, 69%, and 66%, respectively.
Lai Qin, a researcher at the E-House Research Institute, said that the current "five-limit" policy has played a positive role in the control of the property market, and market transactions have gradually stabilized. Observing the historical data from 2016, the current market transactions are at a lower middle level.
From the perspective of different types of cities, in the first half of July, the transaction areas of new commercial housing in 50 typical cities on the first, second and third tiers increased by -8%, 8%, and -13%, respectively, and the year-on-year declines were 56%, 12%, and 18 %. "The three types of cities have shown year-on-year declines, reflecting the effectiveness of the previously introduced control policies. The gradual release of policy effects will guide the nation's property market into a stable stage. In addition, the decline in transaction volume in first-tier cities is the most obvious, and the regulation of first-tier cities It ’s okay to have the toughest policies. ”Lai Qin believes that“ For the first-tier cities, the market takes the lead in adjusting and the cooling effect is relatively obvious. For the second-tier cities, the market is severely differentiated, and market transactions rose slightly in July. The market has been unusually hot for the past few months, and is now slightly tired, with a decline in trading volume. "
It is worth mentioning that, in terms of the year-on-year decrease in transaction area, Beijing was 74%, leading the nationwide decline; in terms of the month-to-month decrease, Beijing was 36%, which was also in the top five of the drop list. It is understood that the reasons that led to the cooling of the Beijing property market include factors that restrict the approval of high-sale pre-sale permits, as well as factors that drastically shrink the demand for home purchases.
Weiye I Love My Market Research Institute's statistics also show that since July 2017, the volume of new commercial residential and second-hand housing transactions in Beijing has fallen significantly year-on-year. Among them, a total of 888 new homes were signed online in the first half of the year, a decrease of 28.5% compared to the first half of June and a decrease of 66.9% year-on-year. In addition, the city has a total of 4,651 sets of second-hand housing, which fell 20.4% month-on-month and 66.5% year-on-year.
Hu Jinghui, vice president of Albert I Love Group, said that the National Bureau of Statistics previously released residential sales data for 70 large and medium-sized cities in June showed that the prices of newly-built commercial housing in 15 first-tier and hot second-tier cities in July all fell year-on-year. At the same time, the average year-on-year increase in the prices of new commercial and second-hand housing in first-tier cities has fallen for nine consecutive months.
Hu Jinghui believes that with the policy of each city, each city will introduce its own regulation and control policies. In the future, the regulation of the property market will be more effective. The local property markets will gradually develop towards the expected trajectory, forming the "first-tier and second-tier housing prices are under control, and Destocking "ideal situation.
Lai Qin's analysis said that the overall performance of market transactions in the first half of July showed a steady decline, which was mainly due to the continued role of control policies, which have gradually cooled the previously overheated market. "It is expected that similar market conditions will continue, and market transactions in July will remain stable and decline. At the same time, the phenomenon of urban differentiation is more obvious. For some cities with loose policies, the market transaction fever may continue for some time ."He says.